Weekly indicators provide a timely nowcast of the economy, signaling changes before monthly or quarterly data is available, and help “mark your beliefs to market.”. Long leading indicators, including ...

The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession is one driver why the central bank would want to slash borrowing costs. Steven Goldstein is based in London and ...

The yield curve is often seen as one of the better early warning indicators for a recession. Since 2022, the yield curve is inverted again and warning of a recession which has not happened so far, ...

Typically, a steepening of the yield curve is also seen as a bullish indicator for future growth, particularly if it is driven by monetary easing. Other potential beneficiaries of steeper yield curves ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

Wall Street's favorite recession signal started flashing red in 2022 and hasn't stopped — and thus far has been wrong every step of the way. Stream NBC 5 for free, 24/7, wherever you are. The yield on ...

The market’s most closely watched part of the yield curve inverted today, and if its record over the last half-century is any indicator, the U.S. could be headed for a recession soon. Shortly after 6 ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

When the 2-year Treasury yield eclipsed the 10-year Treasury yield on July 5, 2022, it caught many investors’ attention. The event — commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion — was largely viewed as a ...

Two recession indicators are on the verge of flashing as the unemployment rate ticks higher and the yield curve uninverts. But stock market investors can still rest easy as the drivers behind each ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest... Can the yield curve still predict recessions? Two years ...