Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. The gambler’s fallacy is ...

Recently I've been deep-diving into a model of brain, mind, and behavior—active inference and the free energy principle—developed by a leading neuroscientist and computational psychiatrist Karl ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Bryce Hoffman writes about leadership, strategy, and decision making. The hot-hand fallacy is a cognitive bias that leads ...

We often move through life believing that happiness, calm, peace, and fulfillment are waiting for us just beyond the next milestone. I fell into this trap often in undergraduate and graduate school. I ...

A quick guide to logical fallacies. Fallacies include ad hominem, appeals to authority, the fallacy fallacy, circular arguments, etc. Authorities reveal chilling message suspects allegedly said before ...